Family feud over jackpot

Often, gamblers decide to pool their resources and share both the costs and the gains from their gambling. Lottery clubs are the best example of this. Sometimes, though, it ends badly, as in this Connecticut case. From the Boston Globe:

For years, Theresa Sokaitis and Rose Bakaysa were the closest of siblings, whiling away long hours over card tables and slot machines, and sharing countless lottery tickets. They always played the same numbers. If one won, they both did. All pots were split 50-50.

Now, in a bitter family feud that seems ripped from a Hollywood script, the elderly widows are locked in a protracted legal battle over a $500,000 lottery jackpot, with Sokaitis saying she is rightfully owed a share of the winnings.Yesterday, the two faced off in New Britain Superior Court, with testimony focusing on whether a notarized, decade-old compact between the sisters to share any gambling proceeds was in effect when their longtime lottery numbers came in.

In 2005, Bakaysa, an 87-year-old from Plainville, Conn., won the Powerball prize with her brother, Joseph F. Troy Sr. Sokaitis, an 84-year-old from Middletown, quickly sued for breach of contract, saying her sister had violated their agreement to split all gambling proceeds equally.The contract, dated April 12, 1995, stated, “We are partners in any winning we shall receive. Such as slot machines, cards, at Foxwoods Casino, and tickets, etc..’’

The sisters, who had gambled together for years — going to Foxwoods as often as three times a week and buying a profusion of lottery tickets — drew up the deal after winning $165,000 at a casino. The printed, single-page document included their names, Social Security numbers, and signatures, and was notarized by an accountant.

But about a year before the winning lottery draw, the sisters had a fight over a loan of some $250 that one had made to the other. The fight became a bitter split. And Bakaysa’s lawyer, William Sweeney of Connecticut, contends the feuding sisters nullified their agreement to split winnings.

via Sisters feud over $500k lottery jackpot – The Boston Globe.

While gambling and losing is bad, gambling and winning can create its own problems.

Lotto advice from the Undercover Economist

With almost 14 million combinations to try, this would take, on average, seven million attempts – about 67,000 years if you play twice a week. Success would be guaranteed after 135,000 years. If you choose your numbers at random, however, success is never guaranteed, and tame mathematicians tell me that the average time to strike lucky is also longer – perhaps 100,000 years or so.

But whether you can shave 35,000 years off is beside the point. The lottery machine is not trying to find your number. It has no memory of previous combinations, and is equally unlikely to pick any of the 14 million. Pick at random, write down your birthday … it makes no difference to your chance of winning – although if you write down unusual numbers, it will minimise the likelihood that if you win, you’ll have to share your prize.

FT.com | The Undercover Economist | Dear Economist: Can you help me win the lottery?.

This is as good a reminder of the difficulties of winning the lottery as any I’ve seen.

Squeezing the lottery

There’s a right reason for legalizing expanded gambling and a wrong reason. The wrong reason is, “the state needs more money.” Guess what’s afoot in Illinois? From the Chicago Tribune:

Hoping to squeeze more money out of the state lottery, Illinois Senate President John Cullerton wants to sell tickets online and hire a private company to manage and market the games.

Cullerton thinks new technology and fresh ideas could help Illinois — facing what could be a $9 billion hole in next years budget — dramatically boost lottery revenues.

"I would venture to say you could potentially even double it," the Chicago Democrat said in a recent interview with The Associated Press.

But lottery experts are skeptical, noting Internet sales could raise legal questions and might not attract many new customers because lottery tickets already are so easy to buy.

Senate president hopes to expand Ill. lottery — chicagotribune.com.

Even if you tripled the state’s lottery sales, you’re still getting about $300 million in revenues. That’s nowhere close to $9 billion. So why even consider expanding the lottery for budgetary reasons? It’s not going to help enough to make a difference.

If the state believes that its citizens, as responsible adults, should have the right to buy lottery tickets online, so be it. But just throwing the magical gambling switch without regard to anything but a possible increase in revenues is a recipe for a public policy disaster.

Lottery records falling

I’ve been meaning to sit down and do a comparative analysis of casino and lotteries revenues over the past year, to see whether the economic downturn (ED) is causing people to gamble less, or just forcing them to curtail trips to Las Vegas and other gaming destinations (and even local venues). Lo and behold, someone’s beaten me to the punch, in a very superficial way. From the State Lottery News:

While casinos around the country are having problems with their revenue numbers for the first time in a long time, state lotteries are not suffering from a similar fate. State lotteries are setting ticket sale records all across North America.

Iowa is the newest state to report that they have broken a sales record. They reported sales of nearly $250 million for the fiscal year that recently ended. The sales were a six percent increase from the previous year.

The Iowa Lottery began back in 1985 and has steadily increased over the years. This year, the $249.2 million was a record. The only time the figures were ever higher was when they offered Touchplay video games for a brief time.

Although it is good news that the state broke the sales record, Iowa Lottery Vice President Mary Neubauer warned that the trend may not continue.

The economy has taken a bite out of lottery sales recently. In Iowa, they were 18 percent ahead of last year in September, but dropped to only six percent by years end. The economy is being blamed for the slowing of sales.

Iowa Lottery Shatters Record For Sales In Fiscal Year.

There’s some major hedging in the last paragraph, but I think that it would be worthwhile to compare lottery and casino revenue for the past two years to see whether they move together, diverge, or have no relationship. I’d particularly like to compare NJ and PA’s numbers.

Win the lottery, go to jail

Usually, winning a million dollars is an unambiguously good thing. But for ex-con, a winning scratcher might be a ticket back to jail. From the Boston Globe:

His odds of winning $1 million on a scratch ticket were 1 in 1,247,400.

His odds of being busted if he won? A pretty safe bet.

Timothy Elliott – the lucky buyer of a $1 million scratch ticket in the $800 Million Spectacular game – is a two-time bank robber whose lottery ticket purchase last week violated the terms of his probation. Last year, when he pleaded guilty to unarmed robbery, the 55-year-old Hyannis man was ordered “to not gamble, purchase lottery tickets, or visit establishments where gaming is conducted, including restaurants where Keno may be played,” according to his probation from Barnstable Superior Court.

So two days after a trip to the winner’s circle in the lottery’s Braintree headquarters, where he claimed the first $50,000 of his payout – about $35,000 after taxes – Elliott earned himself another court date. A hearing has been scheduled for Dec. 7 in Barnstable Superior Court to determine the penalties for violating his probation – and, perhaps, what happens to the winnings.

“This has not happened before, as far as we know,” said Dan Rosenfeld, the lottery’s communications director. “It’s new territory.”

Bank robber may see lottery win scratched – The Boston Globe

Since this a violation of his probation, Elliott could go back to jail, just for the crime of winning. That’s pretty harsh, but if not playing the lottery was a specific condition of his probation, it might be fair.

So blackjack skill players, stop complaining: you’re not the only folks being hassled for winning–at least not anymore.

Where to go for a Powerball sandwich

When is a deli actually a casino? I’d say it’s when they get rid of the rotating pie refrigerator to make room for a craps table. According to the News-Review, many Oregon “delis” are actually thinly-disguised lottery casinos:

Across Oregon, delis that seem to specialize in lottery more than lunch pose a dilemma.

The businesses generate profits to the owners and the Oregon Lottery, supplying an increasingly vital portion of the state general-fund budget. But critics say these establishments cause more social ills and violate a state constitutional prohibition of lottery casinos.

“These are casinos doing business under the guise of being a restaurant, a tavern,” said David Leslie, executive director of Ecumenical Ministries of Oregon, a coalition of 17 Christian congregations.

The Oregon Supreme Court has ruled that a handful of video poker terminals at a neighborhood tavern or deli don’t constitute a casino unless gambling was the “dominant use or dominant purpose” of the business.

But the definition leaves lots of wiggle room, and lottery director Dale Penn is trying to make the rules firm. His proposal, which was discussed at a public hearing in Salem on Tuesday, says lottery retailers must not generate more than half their revenue from gambling.

He also proposes expanded criteria to evaluate whether a business is a casino: How does it advertise? Does it offer a full menu, or just one or two sandwiches? What’s its name? (One Portland establishment is called Nick’s Double Up Deli).

A few residents showed up at lottery headquarters for the hearing. One was Jim Sterup of Salem, who said he worked for 20 years as a craps-table pit boss in Reno, Nev., and Atlantic City, N.J.

Sterup asked lottery officials to curb “hole-in-the-wall” lottery delis, where state lottery terminals are the main form of business.

“I believe that everyone understands that we have let casinos operate in the state of Oregon and we need to correct that situation,” Sterup said.

Two interest groups submitted comments. The Oregon Restaurant Association, which represents lottery retailers, endorsed the proposed rules. Ecumenical Ministries of Oregon said the rules give too much discretion to the lottery director.

Deli-lotteries

I should probably talk about the unsanctioned spread of gambling or something like that, but honestly I’m still hung up on the rotating pie refrigerator. It’s one of those things that is totally ordinary, but seemed really neat to me as a child. I’m probably not the only one. Whoever thought of that was a genius.

Back to lottodelis–this is why Nevada has a thing called a restricted slots license, so that bars and restaurants can add 15 slots (no more, and usually no less). That way, you’ve got bar-top video poker without turning the place into a casino. I’m not aware of any requirement that a portion of the joint’s revenues must be from non-gaming. If deils are allowed only a set number of machines, could they stay in business if they didn’t have some other revenue stream? This is a study in the law on unintended consequences.

Speaking of restricted licenses, earlier this week I had some tasty pizza at my one of my favorite neighborhood bar/restaurant/video poker emporiums. They were still serving food, which was great, the bar was pretty crowded–well, about as crowded as I’ve ever seen the place. But I couldn’t help noticing on my way out that one of the patrons, probably intending to smoke outside, had lit up while sitting on his barstool and hadn’t yet gotten around to leaving the place. And I’ve got a hunch that none of his fellow patrons were going to tear themselves away from American Idol to call the Health Department on him. Based on this little bit of casual empirical research, I’d say that 1) the smoking ban isn’t going to hurt business as much as opponents argued and 2) it’s not going to “protect the children” as effectively as proponents thought.

Baseball embraces gambling

Hypocrisy regarding gambling is nothing new–as a historical phenomenon, it’s a few thousand years old. But people and organizations keep finding new ways to contradict their stated principles in search of a buck. Don’t believe me? Ask the Boston Globe:

Red Sox fans who play the state lottery now have a chance at the ultimate prize: season tickets for life.

That’s the top giveaway of a Red Sox scratch-ticket game that the Massachusetts State Lottery unveiled yesterday. Players also can win Red Sox cruise packages and jerseys used in games, as well as more traditional prizes of up to $1 million.

Fans will be able to pay $5 for the Red Sox Instant Ticket beginning April 11, the date of the Sox’s home opener. The Red Sox are the first team in Major League Baseball to unveil a lottery game, but several others — including the New York Yankees and Mets — have plans to follow suit.

The games are a result of a deal struck between Major League Baseball and a subsidiary of Scientific Games Corp. of New York to let team logos be used on instant tickets. In the next few years, dozens of teams are expected to unveil lottery games, executives said.

The National Basketball Association, National Hockey League, and NASCAR already have similar agreements with Scientific Games and are featured in some state lottery games. Under the terms of the Sox’s deal, the team will not get royalties from lottery ticket sales, but Scientific Games will pay the team an undisclosed lump sum for supplying the prizes. (The New York Times Co., owner of The Boston Globe, holds a 17 percent stake in the Red Sox.) The Sox also are planning to sell lottery tickets at Fenway Park this year.
State to roll out Sox scratch tickets – The Boston Globe

So it’s OK for teams to put their name on lottery scratchers–one of the worst-odds gambles out there–but putting $10 on the winner of a game is immoral?

Lacking any philosophical or moral objections to gambling, it is difficult to articulate exactly why some forms of it are permissible while others aren’t.

The lottery of death!?!

Doing research for Roll the Bones, I’m increasingly coming to believe that gambling truly is everywhere in history. This excerpt from a Tarzan story, for example, references lots, card sharps, and a specific cheating technique, all in a few melodramatic paragraphs.

“It is the will of the majority,” announced Monsieur Thuran, “and now let us lose no time in drawing lots. It is as fair for one as for another. That three may live, one of us must die perhaps a few hours sooner than otherwise.”

Then he began his preparation for the lottery of death, while Jane Porter sat wide-eyed and horrified at thought of the thing that she was about to witness. Monsieur Thuran spread his coat upon the bottom of the boat, and then from a handful of money he selected six franc pieces. The other two men bent close above him as he inspected them. Finally he handed them all to Clayton.

“Look at them carefully,” he said. “The oldest date is eighteen-seventy-five, and there is only one of that year.”

Clayton and the sailor inspected each coin. To them there seemed not the slightest difference that could be detected other than the dates. They were quite satisfied. Had they known that Monsieur Thuran’s past experience as a card sharp had trained his sense of touch to so fine a point that he could almost differentiate between cards by the mere feel of them, they would scarcely have felt that the plan was so entirely fair. The 1875 piece was a hair thinner than the other coins, but neither Clayton nor Spider could have detected it without the aid of a micrometer.

“In what order shall we draw?” asked Monsieur Thuran, knowing from past experience that the majority of men always prefer last chance in a lottery where the single prize is some distasteful thing–there is always the chance and the hope that another will draw it first. Monsieur Thuran, for reasons of his own, preferred to draw first if the drawing should happen to require a second adventure beneath the coat.

And so when Spider elected to draw last he graciously offered to take the first chance himself. His hand was under the coat for but a moment, yet those quick, deft fingers had felt of each coin, and found and discarded the fatal piece. When he brought forth his hand it contained an 1888 franc piece. Then Clayton drew. Jane Porter leaned forward with a tense and horrified expression on her face as the hand of the man she was to marry groped about beneath the coat. Presently he withdrew it, a franc piece lying in the palm. For an instant he dared not look, but Monsieur Thuran, who had leaned nearer to see the date, exclaimed that he was safe.

Jane Porter sank weak and trembling against the side of the boat. She felt sick and dizzy. And now, if Spider should not draw the 1875 piece she must endure the whole horrid thing again.

The Return of Tarzan: Chapter 18 — The Lottery of Death

I have a challenge for all of you: provide a one-paragraph explanation of what precipitated the sortilege described here, and what happens next. Post it as a comment.

I’m getting back to work on my chapter about British imperialism and gambling.

Betting on the Pope

Gamblers can take any event, no matter how solemn or tragic, and turn it to betting purposes. So it’s really no surprise to learn that some bookies are taking action on who the next pope will be, or that Italians are betting lottery numbers associated with John Paul II.

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Online gaming backlash?

As I discuss in my forthcoming book about the Wire Act (the title is still evolving), the current US “prohibition” of online gaming is encountering significant challenges. This article discusses some of them.
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